Thursday, February 23, 2023

the New IPCC report (no ESAS mention) does NOT even emphasize Daniel Rosenfeld's research on the Aerosol Masking Effect being twice as bad!

 The IPCC ar6 is still lacking any discussion of the East Siberian Arctic Shelf gigaton pressurized methane that has high potential of abrupt eruption, doubling global warming. Instead ar6 claims methane emissions can be reduced to offset the increased temperature from reducing the Aerosol Masking Effect. It's pretty ridiculous considering ESAS methane emissions is already accelerating. thanks

 2409 pages downloaded. (group 1) OK yes they do cite Rosenfeld's Aerosol research. "this is uncertain since observations suggest that models may overestimate (Malavelle et al., 2017; Toll et al., 2017) or underestimate (Rosenfeld et al., 2019) the aerosol cloud-mediated cooling effects." So the report appears to "wash out" his results! He's cited about 25 times but the 2019 research is only cited once in that quote. Wait I found 2019 Rosenfeld cited another time. "Rosenfeld et al. (2019) still obtained a positive relationship between cloud fraction and Nd relationship." Not much discussion really. "while Rosenfeld et al. (2019) obtained a modest positive relationship" third citation! Rosenfeld, D. et al., 2019: Aerosol-driven droplet concentrations dominate coverage and water of oceanic low-level clouds. Science, 363(6427), eaav0566,

you think the political screening as a "consensus" report called the IPCC is better than peer-reviewed science journals? The Oceans already have over 250 Zettajoules of heat from abrupt global warming. Jennifer MacKinnon of Scripps Institute just led a research expedition to the Arctic, documenting "Heat bomzbzs" melting the ice from underneath. She says they're could be a BOE less than 1 million sq. kilometers of ice this September. The Albedo effect is already reducing. I just downloaded the FULL IPCC AR6 report (group III) that you keep raving about. I just word searched "aerosol" and out of 1991 pages of report "aerosol" is only mentioned 106 times!! Let's see what it says. On page 159 the report says the Aerosol Masking Effect is "of similar magnitude to warming from methane at present." Yeah that's not including the ESAS methane bomzbz. Wow I just finished the 106 word search and there is NOTHING in detail about the Aerosol Masking Effect ! I'm really shocked. Now I will search Rosenfeld to see if he is at least cited. Nope - he is not even cited. The report cites a DC Rosenfeld on alternative fuels but no Daniel Rosenfeld on aerosol masking effect. We need to rethink everything we know about global warming Jan 20, 2019 — Daniel Rosenfeld argues that the degree to which aerosol particles cool the earth has been grossly underestimated. We need to rethink everything we know about global warming Jan 22, 2019 — And, they discovered that aerosols' cooling effect is nearly twice higher than previously thought. However, if this is true then how come ..." So the IPCC can not even include this information? What a total joke - worse than that - it's fraudulent science. 

  OK now I just downloaded the 3068 pages of AR6 wg2 - (Group II) and again no real discussion of aerosol masking effect with NO citation of Daniel Rosenfeld's aerosol masking effect research! 

 The Summary For Policy Makers of AR6 WG1 Section A4 - there is no Section A4. do you have a page number? I just searched Aerosol for this summary report and the word Aerosol is not even mentioned!

 No Mention of Natalia Shakhova is any of the "three" working group full reports. I searched Shakhova. Nadda. Zilch. Nothing.

appear to be stable? NONE of the "full reports" of the IPCC even cite Shakhova's research on ESAS. You realize just how bonkers that is? "Second, the finding that methane is released from a large pool of preformed methane, as opposed to methane from slow decomposition of thawing subsea permafrost organic matter, suggests that these releases may be more eruptive in nature, which provides a larger potential for abrupt future releases." citing Shakhova, 2019: Understanding the Permafrost–Hydrate System and Associated Methane Releases in the East Siberian Arctic Shelf and then Thornton tries to dismiss the whole thing. I'm sure Thornton is cited in the IPCC reports but not Shakhova. Classic.

 Julia Steinbach is not cited either! she is the source of the above quote on methane in ESAS...

Nope - not in "full report II" either.

just searched all three "full reports" of the IPPC ar6 and NO mention of Natalia Shakhova's research on the East Siberian Arctic Shelf methane burst that will soon double global warming. Hilarious. The Daniel Rosenfeld 2019 aerosol masking research that shows it's twice as bad as previously thought is also dismissed as equivocal. Hilarious!

 No mention of Steinbach 2021 that cites Shakhova - in any of the three "full reports" of IPCC ar6 - again a total joke. Also Daniel Rosenfeld's 2019 aerosol masking research group that showed a twice effect was dismissed as equivocal - stating well some research showed that it's less and so they balance out. Really? James E. Hansen is already documenting a big temperature increase from aerosol masking effect. The IPCC is claiming the methane heating is equivalent to aerosol masking and so decreasing methane will balance out aerosol masking - without mentioning ESAS! Hilarious!

 

 

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