Sunday, October 27, 2019

It's the End of the World as we Know It! The vanishing of the glaciers and the East Siberian Arctic Shelf aka ESAS Methane bomb going off

I remember listening to that song playing the car as my Venezuelan friend drove through the Andes outside Merida Venezuela. She was adopted from her indigenous tribe into an Italian-Venezuelan medical doctor's family. That was 20 years ago and now the news has spread around the world - the last big glacier outside Merida will be gone within the decade.

http://www.cryopolitics.com/2017/10/17/far-from-the-arctic-venezuelas-last-glacier-melts-away/

What's funny is most of these stories give equal weight to the end of the glaciers in Venezuela as well as the collapse of Venezuela society due to the US Imperialism challenge to the socialist oil policies of the Hugo Chavez revolution in 1998. I personally talked to bare-footed peasants in the Andes who told me they had never voted before but they were going to vote for Hugo.

But of course the melting of the glaciers is a MUCH bigger crisis. Revolutions have come and gone in latin america since Western genocidal colonialism "advanced" into the area over 500 years ago.

 As recently as 1991, Venezuela had five glaciers.
So we are talking about an accelerating destruction of the fresh water supply for the whole region. And this is symptomatic of the whole world accelerating in warming. We will be lucky to be able to grow food on Earth in just five to ten years!!



 In 1910, glaciers covered at least 10 square miles of the country’s Northwestern region. Today, less than one percent of that remains. And the Humboldt, which was once one of five major glaciers, is disappearing.

 So the whole region will go into catastrophic water crisis very soon as this final glacier disappears.

So now we encounter another catastrophe that will double global warming levels very soon!!

https://www.counterpunch.org/2019/06/20/the-dangerous-methane-mystery/

This has YET to be covered in the Western media (even DemocracyNow!) - despite its global implications. Yes Newsweek reported the accelerating methane releases but neglected to mention its global implications! oops!!

A recent third-party study, also referenced in the aforementioned Arctic News article d/d June 10th, concluded that at 1200 ppm atmospheric CO2 global heating cranks up by 8°C, or 14.4°F, within a decade. (Source: Arctic News d/d June 10, 2019).
https://www.counterpunch.org/2019/10/11/methane-sos/

So here we go!!

 Thus, a 50-gigaton burst would be similar to 116 years of CO2 emissions released all at once.
The consequences of such a burst “may cause an approximately 12-times increase of modern atmospheric methane burden with consequent catastrophic greenhouse warming,” Ibid, pg. 198.


So kind of funny how this news is NOT even covered by "DemocracyNow" - supposedly not afraid to cover these stories.  I have even emailed them to persuade them to cover this issue. Nope!

Global warming is on speed, especially in northern latitudes where an international team of scientists led by Igor Semiletov of Tomsk Polytechnic University, Russia’s oldest technical institution, recently made a startling discovery aboard the Academic Mstislav Keldysh (see photo above), the kind of discovery that sends chills down the spine, i.e., “methane bubbles boiling in water.”
According to Semiletov: “This is the most powerful seep I have ever been able to observe… No one has ever recorded anything similar.” (Source: Research Vessel Encounters Giant Methane Seep in Arctic Waters, The Maritime Executive, Oct. 10, 2019)


The next day, the expedition stumbled upon another giant seep of roughly the same size, even though discovering seeps among rough ocean waves is usually “harder than finding a needle in a haystack,” Mr Nikiforov said.
In other words the ESAS Methane Bomb is already starting to go off!!

  One of the consequences has been massive releases of methane from the seafloor, including from hydrates, ice-like formations of solid methane that can explode into gas if they are destabilised.
The arctic is now SO THIN that it is forcing global warming "studies" to SHUT DOWN!!

 “This may be one of the last years we can do this kind of expedition,” says Matt Shupe of the University of Colorado, who first began planning the mission 10 years ago and now leads its atmospheric research programme.
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20191018-the-problem-of-thinning-arctic-sea-ice?ocid=global_future_rss
Climate change has been thinning the Arctic sea ice for decades. But no-one on the expedition quite appreciated just how fragile it had become until they got here. (Read about how thin ice has hampered the expedition.)

“From the air it looks so beautiful,” says Jari Haapala of the Finnish Meteorological Institute. Haapala was on the first helicopter flight from the Russian support vessel the Akademik Federov, which has accompanied Polarstern on this first leg of its journey. The flights to explore nearby floes have been going on in parallel with the efforts on board Polarstern. But the view from the air was deceptive. Survey teams have been drilling into the ice to measure its thickness and quality.

“It was amazing to see the drills went so quickly through,” says Happala. "Usually the ice is quite strong – it takes time to drill. It was a big surprise that these floes were so large but they hadn’t disintegrated yet.”

This is not welcome news for Mosaic. The expedition needs a particularly stable floe because of the scale of the research camp they plan to build on it. The scientists want to spend the next year there, measuring the atmosphere, ice, ocean, biogeochemistry and ecosystems in the Arctic throughout – an ambitious plan that has never been done on this scale. The data they obtain will help to answer a raft of questions about how climate change is transforming the Arctic environment, and what that will mean for the rest of the world in the coming decades.  

Many of the best floes identified as being at least 80cm thick in satellite images have turned out to be less than half that

Until now, the major challenge has been finding a “sweet spot” from which they can allow themselves to become frozen into the sea ice and begin drifting. They have to avoid passing into known danger zones, areas inaccessible to resupply operations, and the Russian Exclusive Economic Zone, where they are not permitted to do research. If the ship drifts into this area, the instruments would have to be switched off and data-gathering halted. But as time as gone on, another challenge has emerged – finding a piece of ice in this sweet spot capable of supporting them.
 when they say this: "Extending model predictions to warmer conditions up to 2100 indicates that winter CO2 emissions will increase 17% under a moderate mitigation scenario" I just think they're being delusional since they're ignoring the ESAS Methane Bomb. Scientists are paid to be overly specialized - to create a nice little corporate-state marketing niche for their knowledge. It's kind of tragic comedy. So the running joke here is that at first the date 2100 was in almost all the articles for global warming and everyone gets a free treat of their choice as a "Ding Ding Ding" alarm for 2100. Then it got pushed forward to 2050 as the new DING DING DING date that was commonly scene. Then it got pushed to 2030 as the new DING DING DING date - all of which ignores the real trajectories from Professor Carmen Solana on http://arctic-news.blogspot.com of 2022. So five years is being generous. 2100 is being ridiculous - unless you're a Salaried SEllout. For example.... "Climate change has been thinning the Arctic sea ice for decades. But no-one on the expedition quite appreciated just how fragile it had become until they got here." https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20191018-the-problem-of-thinning-arctic-sea-ice?ocid=global_future_rss “This may be one of the last years we can do this kind of expedition,” says Matt Shupe of the University of Colorado, who first began planning the mission 10 years ago and now leads its atmospheric research programme. https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20191014-climate-change-arctic-expedition-finds-itself-on-thin-ice Scientists can not even STUDY abrupt global warming anymore - the ice is too thin! OOps. Time to start panicking. Science is not going to save us.

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