Looks like it's already a global war considering Russia has to rely on North Korean forces and Iranian, Chinese weapons.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TpQ_WvqeXfI
Iranian-made Shaheen missiles. This attack highlights the deepening military collaboration between Russia and Iran. As the prolonged war grinds on, Russia has increasingly leaned on allies like Iran, China, and North Korea for supply of arms—nations united in their challenge to the U.S.-led global order.
“Russia cannot continue waging the current war beyond late 2025, when it will begin running out of key weapons systems.” Fortune, November 24th, 2024.
Alexander Mertens, a professor of finance at the National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy, explained how Russia can’t produce enough to replace what it’s losing on the battlefield. For example, the military is losing about 320 tank and artillery cannon barrels a month, while Russian factories can produce only 20 each month, forcing the Kremlin to dig into aging Soviet stockpiles. But that’s not enough, and Russia will run out of barrels sometime in 2025, In addition, Russia is losing about 155 infantry fighting vehicles a month, but its defense industry can make only 17 a month. The supply-and-demand economics of artillery shells and troops are also unsustainable.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nwgh8yHh2Mw
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EKEBgbHS-AI
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/11/23/7485972/
"Russia has been using ballistic missiles throughout this war, but this is alleged to have been an intercontinental ballistic missile – which normally has a different use, which, if it is the case, is on the one hand an escalation and a signal, but on the other hand also an act of desperation that Putin is unable to win in this war," he said.
Sikorski added that he is currently observing the Russian economy experiencing "real stress". He also noted reports of desertions among Russian soldiers, emphasising that "inviting mercenaries from North Korea is not exactly a sign of strength".
Russia will have moved some of its critical capabilities beyond their reach – and done so probably well before Biden’s decision. ... The use of just six ballistic missiles, albeit in combination with a large number of drones, might be an indication that Ukraine, for now at least, has relatively limited stock of these missiles and cannot commit them in large numbers to individual strikes.... Given that the Ukrainian attack, according to Russian reports, caused no damage, this is highly unlikely.... air defence systems intercepted five and damaged one.
following the Biden administration's announcement, the French daily Le Figaro reported that the U.K. and France said they, too, would allow Ukraine to use their Storm Shadow and SCALP missiles to strike inside Russia. That will put pressure on Germany, which has so far refused to deliver its Taurus missiles to Ukraine.
Chinese and Indian warnings to Russian President Vladimir Putin not to cross the nuclear red line....Only railroads can fill the demand, and railroads are vulnerable to long-range strikes. Physical infrastructure—track, bridges, tunnels, switching stations, engine yards, diesel fuel depots—can be struck and restruck to isolate the occupying Russian army.
Pentagon spokesperson Sabrina Singh said Russian officials warned the U.S. of the launch through nuclear risk reduction channels. That helped ensure that it wasn't misidentified as an intercontinental ballistic missile and therefore a possible nuclear threat.
While Russia already has sufficient weapons in its arsenal to strike NATO partners, Poland is particularly unnerved by these new developments. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said there is a "serious and real" threat of global war. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy called it a "clear and severe escalation" by Russia. Zelenskyy accused Putin of using Ukraine as a "testing ground."
I’ve said before, if Russia attacks Poland, we’ll strike targets in St. Petersburg. I’ll do everything to avoid it, but if necessary, we’ll act.
Poland is buying 800 missiles and preparing its army because we understand Russia’s language. Ukraine’s Western partners must also understand that withholding permissions or weapons won’t help.
Polish Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Paweł Wroński stressed the Polish base in Redzikowo is purely defensive, set up to counter ballistic missile threats, according to RMF24.
Wronski added that if Russia continues its threats, the US and NATO may need to bolster air defenses along the Alliance’s eastern flank.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cjr4pr0gyyzo
more than a dozen different North Korean oil tankers arriving at an oil
terminal in Russia’s Far East a total of 43 times over the past eight
months.
Pyongyang was sending Moscow weapons.
The shipments have continued as thousands of North Korean troops are reported to have been sent to Russia to fight, with the last one recorded on 5 November.
“While
Kim Jong Un is providing Vladimir Putin with a lifeline to continue his
war, Russia is quietly providing North Korea with a lifeline of its
own,” says Joe Byrne from the Open Source Centre.
Its biggest worry is that Moscow will provide Pyongyang with technology to improve its spy satellites and ballistic missiles.
Last month, Seoul’s defence minister, Kim Yong-hyun, stated there was a “high chance” North Korea was asking for such help.
“If you’re sending your people to die in a foreign war, a million barrels of oil is just not sufficient reward,” Dr Go says.
https://apnews.com/article/north-korea-russia-ukraine-artillery-f16f8a95fc6b4314c52d4a9271c3632d
the National Intelligence Service said that North Korea exported 170mm
self-propelled guns and 240mm multiple rocket launch systems to Russia,
according to lawmaker Lee Seong Kweun, who attended the meeting.
North Korea likely dispatched personnel to teach the Russians how to use them and handle their maintenance.
Last week, Russian Telegram channels and other social media posts published photos apparently showing North Korean’s “Koksan” 170mm self-propelled guns being moved by rail inside Russia. The Financial Times, citing Ukrainian intelligence assessments, reported Sunday that North Korea in recent weeks sent some 50 domestically produced 170mm self-propelled howitzers and 20 240mm multiple launch rocket systems to Russia.
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