https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4607703/
Some authors believe [And AI CLAIMS THIS IS THE SCIENTIFIC CONSENSUS EVEN THOUGH THEY ARE WRONG] that CH4 fluxes from subsea permafrost, more than 80% of which occur in the East Siberian Arctic Shelf (ESAS), will depend on rates of CH4 production in gradually thawing sediments [6], while subsea permafrost will remain frozen for millennia [7]. Others believe that permafrost failure caused by long-lasting warming by seawater due to sea-level rise and global-change-induced warming, which in the twenty-first century is very pronounced over the ESAS [8], will destabilize massive gas reservoirs, leading to large-scale CH4 releases, including release of pre-formed CH4 long preserved within and beneath subsea permafrost [9,10].
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The other factor that AI is not considering is the Aerosol Masking Effect research of Daniel Rosenfeld's research group as this is also excluded from current climate modeling. Rosenfeld's research discovered that a 40% decrease in coal production heats up Earth another 1 degree celsius global average. This means the "scenario" of reducing co2 emissions from coal actually heats up earth faster as James Hansen now emphasizes that the main cause of global atmosphere temperature increase is from the increase in renewables.
